In a communiqué valid until the 14th, next Sunday, the IPMA informs that at 15:00 TUC (16:00 Madeira and Continental Portugal) today, October 12, the center of Hurricane LESLIE was located 1,037 km west (W) of Funchal and 1,759 km west-southwest (WSW) of Lisbon, with a minimum pressure of 971 hPa, moving east-northeast (ENE) at 52 km / h.
The uncertainty regarding the LESLIE trajectory remains high, and it is only possible to determine the most reliable trajectory within 24 hours. The forecasts for more than 24 hours continue to indicate different trajectories.
The latest forecasts point to a deviation from the trajectory of Hurricane LESLIE to northern Madeira, and may also reach mainland Portugal.
The latest available forecasts indicate that there is an average wind gust up to 40 to 60 km / h from 3am on Saturday, with maximum wind gusts that should not exceed 90/110 km / h, but there is a probability between 30 and 50% occurrence of average winds with tropical storm force (between 63 and 118 km / h) for the islands of Madeira and Porto Santo from Saturday morning. The waves should reach 5 to 7 meters, with a maximum height of 10 to 12 meters, in the period between 13 and 19h local on Saturday. Heavy precipitation is also expected between 7 am and 4 pm local time on Saturday.
On the other hand, the IPMA indicates that the Leslie must begin to affect the territory of the Continent from 19 / 22h local Saturday, in particular in terms of wind, sea agitation and precipitation, being the regions of Center and South and the coast , those that are more likely to be hit with more meaning.
In this context, the IPMA emphasizes that in the Mainland the most critical period for the wind is between 1 am to 7 pm on Sunday, for the sea turmoil between 4 am to 1 pm local Sunday and for the precipitation between 1 am to 4 pm local Sunday .